Volatility analysis

BTC/USDT Volatility Peaks at 14:00 UTC in the Supplied 90-Day Sample

The supplied hourly profile identifies 14:00 UTC at 0.56% as the highest average realized-volatility reading and designates 10:00 UTC as the lowest at 0.27%.

BTC/USDT average realized volatility by UTC hour over the supplied 90-day window, highlighting 14:00 UTC at 0.56% and 10:00 UTC at 0.27%
BTC/USDT average realized volatility by UTC hour. Chart timestamp: September 7, 2026 at 13:10 UTC. Source: RavenInvestor output supplied for this analysis, built from 1-minute candles covering June 9 through September 6, 2026. The venue and market-data provider were not supplied.

At a glance

Key Data

Highest designated hour
14:00 UTC
0.56% average realized volatility
Lowest designated hour
10:00 UTC
0.27% at displayed precision
Historical sample
90 days
June 9–September 6, 2026
Hourly groups
24
00:00 through 23:00 UTC
Input interval
1 minute
As stated in the chart
Chart timestamp
13:10 UTC
September 7, 2026

What the supplied chart reports

Observed: the chart designates 14:00 UTC as the most volatile hour, with average realized volatility of 0.56%. It designates 10:00 UTC as the least volatile hour at 0.27%. These are historical averages for the supplied window, not statements about what must happen at those hours on a future day.

The profile covers 90 days, from June 9 through September 6, 2026, and is built from 1-minute candles. Each bar represents one UTC hour of the day, so the figure compares 24 time-of-day groups under one displayed method.

How to read the hourly profile

The horizontal axis runs from 00:00 to 23:00 UTC. Bar height is the supplied average realized-volatility reading for that hour across the selected sample. A taller bar indicates a higher historical average under the chart's method; it does not show whether price moved upward or downward.

The strongest visible cluster surrounds the highlighted hour. The chart labels 12:00 at 0.40%, 13:00 at 0.51%, 14:00 at 0.56%, 15:00 at 0.52% and 16:00 at 0.41%. This is an observed concentration in the supplied profile. The image does not provide evidence explaining why those readings occurred.

At the displayed two-decimal precision, both 04:00and 10:00 are labeled 0.27%. The graphic nevertheless marks 10:00 as “least volatile.” Since no additional decimal places or tie-breaking rule were supplied, the visible data support a tie at the shown precision while the designation remains the model's own annotation.

Historical comparison: 90 days and 24 hourly groups

The valid comparison sample stated by the chart is a 90-day window, summarized into 24 UTC hourly groups. It is a time-of-day comparison within one historical period, not a comparison among separate market cycles, exchanges or instruments.

The bars summarize averages and do not display the distribution of individual days inside each group. The image therefore does not reveal how consistent an hour was, how wide its observations were, whether a few sessions influenced the mean or how many one-minute records remained after data-quality filtering.

Historical similarity does not guarantee the same future outcome. Even if a future session reaches 14:00 UTC, the chart does not imply that its volatility will equal 0.56% or exceed every other hour that day.

What the profile can—and cannot—support

Interpretation: the supplied profile can help identify hours that merit closer monitoring, compare the same UTC bucket across later samples and describe when variability was historically concentrated. It can also support research on whether the ranking remains stable when the sample window or measurement method changes.

Higher realized volatility means that the short-interval returns used by the method were more dispersed; lower realized volatility means they were more compressed. The chart alone cannot identify what caused either condition. Any explanation involving news, liquidity, order flow or derivatives would require separate data and is not established by this image.

The measure also does not provide direction. A high reading can describe movement without determining whether the net move was positive or negative. No support, resistance, target, entry or liquidation level is supplied, so a “Levels to Watch” section is intentionally omitted.

Methodology and risk note

This analysis transcribes the RavenInvestor image timestamped September 7, 2026 at 13:10 UTC. The chart states that it uses 1-minute candles from June 9 through September 6, 2026 to form average realized volatility by UTC hour. No new financial calculations were performed.

The supplied material does not identify the venue, market-data provider, candle price field, return formula, aggregation rule, treatment of missing minutes, outlier policy or minimum number of observations required per hour. Those omissions prevent exact independent reproduction from the image alone.

The profile shows an association between UTC hour and average measured variability in one sample. It does not prove that the hour caused the volatility, and it does not predict that Bitcoin will definitely rise or fall at any displayed time.

Continue learning

Understand how an hourly volatility profile is built

Review the measurement choices, practical uses and limitations behind a time-of-day comparison.

Read the hourly-volatility guide